One of the top Week 1 NFL predictions the model recommends: TheVikings (-1.5) cover against the Packers in well over 50 percent of simulations. "This line is inflated. Jaylen Waddle will join fellow new arrival (via free agency) Will Fuller to give the Fins the outside speed theyve sorely lacked for some time. Baltimore signed free agents Devonta Freeman, Latavius Murray and LeVeon Bell in response to the latest back, Gus Edwards, going down. "The total is down a half-point to 52. UPDATE 9 P.M. All rights reserved. On Tuesday, it reached 44.5, where it sits now. Check back regularly for updates. It's 2/1 tickets and money on the Over," Shelton said. If you ignore the games against a woeful New York Jets side, it took them until week 9 to win by more than 7 points, so it makes sense that odds on the 7-point-spread favor the Steelers here. 2023 NFL Draft odds: Will Georgia's Stetson Bennett get selected? Week 1 NFL panel picks: Spreads, totals, locks to kick off 2021 Video is unavailable. You agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of TheFootballLines.com by accessing and using this site. But 2020 still ended in disappointment for Tennessee in the form of a first-round exit courtesy of the Ravens. UPDATE 6 P.M. It's two-way point-spread action with a lean toward the Cowboys, at 52% of tickets/53% of money. The Ravens passing game continued to be the subject of much scrutiny last season but it did make two quality imports this offseason in veteran Sammy Watkins and rookie Rashod Bateman. Super Bowl LVII: What Time Does The Game Start And End? UPDATE 6 P.M. The Titans were back in the playoffs last season and Ryan Tannehill mostly proved his excellent 2019 run was no mirage. Opening Total. Read which dogs Jason McIntyre thinks have a chance to bark. Robby Anderson and D.J. It's now at 46, with 63% of bets/52% of money on the Under. We may be compensated by the company links provided on this page. Then on Aug. 24, Denver advanced to -5.5, -6 and -6.5. The defending AFC champs for the second consecutive season, theres little doubt Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes and company are still smarting from their Super Bowl thumping at the hands of the Buccaneers. 2015-09-10. 1 QB and will be reunited with college teammate and reigning Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith. The story of the Rams offseason was the swap-out of Jared Goff for Matthew Stafford, with the latter finally escaping Detroit after a mostly miserable decade-plus in the Motor City. Theres a big change under center in Carolina as well. "I like New Yorks new coach, Brian Daboll, and think he will be a tremendous value add to struggling QB Daniel Jones. We will need the Cowboys in what should be the most-heavily-bet game of Week 1.". With a full slate of NFL odds available for Week 1, here are a few more picks and predictions for a couple more games during opening week. Home-field advantage has been and always will be a major factor when betting on pro football. Week 1 wraps up with the Denver Broncos and new quarterback Russell Wilson traveling to Seattle to take on Wilson's former team, the Seahawks, on Monday Night Football. "The loss of Tyreek Hill wont deter bettors from backing Patrick Mahomes and expecting big offensive numbers every time the Chiefs take the field," Murray said. This is one of my favorite picks for Week 1 of the NFL. ET Sunday, Sept. 11 (CBS). Theres no young buck under center in Atlanta as grizzled vet Matt Ryan showed he had more than enough life left in his arm last season while throwing for 4,581 yards and 26 touchdowns. Both teams have tons of firepower on offense.". The contest is set to take place at the neutral site of TIAA Bank Field, the home of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Hilton is on IR for at least the first three weeks due to a neck issue. "Arizona figures to be one of our biggest needs in the late games. This time, hes the signal-caller for the Rams, where he has some really amazing linemen to protect him, so its very likely his stats are gonna get even better. NFL Lines : Moneyline: Over/Under: NBA Lines : Moneyline: Over/Under: MLB Lines : Moneyline: Over/Under: NHL Lines: Moneyline . UPDATE 9 P.M. And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? One spread has hit as low as a pick'em, while another reached 8.5 before falling slightly. ET MONDAY, AUG. 29: In the regular-season opener, on Thursday night, Sept. 8, the Rams get to raise the banner for their 2021-22 Super Bowl title. Miami is coming off a 9-8 SU campaign (9-7-1 ATS). UPDATE 3 P.M. Anyone who has followed it is way up. Arizona made one of the more intriguing free agent offensive additions in multi-time Pro Bowler A.J. It peaked at 53.5 Monday, backed up to 51 Tuesday and is now at the original number of 52. But that includes a low-six-figure wager on Buffalo -2.5. Andy Dalton was initially brought in to serve as a stopgap quarterback, but precisely who hed been serving as a bridge to wasnt clear until Chicago nabbed Justin Fields in the first round of Aprils draft. The number nudged back to -2 a couple of times over the past couple of days, and it's been at -2.5 since late this afternoon. The Bills were 9-1 straight-up in Orchard Park in 2020, including the playoffs, and boasted an average margin of victory of 8.5 points. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2023-24 NFL section (probably late May), register for a free account . In this example, the Vikings are the favorites and you must wager $200 dollars to turn a profit of . Matt Ryan, a healthy Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, Mike Davis, and Kyle Pitts on one side of the field? The one major offseason personnel change for the Bolts was actually a loss, as Hunter Henry departed to the Patriots. Chicago Bears Super Bowl Odds: Can Justin Fields Elevate the Bears Chances of Winning Super Bowl 58? The Most and Least Profitable Teams To Bet. But the Fish finished with a flurry, going 8-1 SU/7-2 ATS over their last nine games. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. The total opened at 51.5 and peaked at 53.5 in late July. UPDATE 10 P.M. Pro Football Network strives to passionately deliver purposeful, captivating, and exceptional football content. The latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook list all but one Sunday game with a spread within one score. And there are plenty more intriguing matchups. UPDATE 10 P.M. Buccaneers, and our early picks for Week 1 of the NFL season. With the season beginning this week, and 16 games. Kyle Shanahan is ready to unleash Nick Bosa and Dee Ford against the Lionshttps://t.co/f6s2LRMucS pic.twitter.com/H27VOw03Nk. 4 overall pick Kyle Pitts. Those quarterbacks combine for 300 yards of passing in the simulations, while a trio of 49ers running backs combine for 150 yards on the ground. The money line betting odds correlate to the listed point spread. The NFL announced the 2021 Week 1 schedule yesterday, along with the plan for the rest of the season. footballlocks.com has a global rank of #9,690,773 which puts itself among the top 10 million most popular websites worldwide. Go here to take advantage at Caesars Sportsbook. The fact that Gang Green will roll out a rookie QB and Darnold gets a crack at his old teammates makes this line another very noteworthy one to potentially jump on, although Carolina was just 2-6 at home straight up and ATS in 2020. Enter Sam Darnold, acquired via trade with the Jets, who like Wentz, is a one-time top 3 quarterback selection looking to establish himself elsewhere this coming season. "We'll be rooting for the 'dog and the Under, per usual.". The Cowboys wont jump off the page based on their dismal 2020, but factor in a healthy Dak Prescott into the equation, a dynamic group of receivers and what should be a considerably improved defense, and youve got yourself the makings of a team that stands to make one of the biggest season-to-season improvements of any club. NOTES: Cade York's 58-yard field goal with 8 seconds left in his NFL debut lifted Cleveland over Carolina. All rights reserved. "Getting nearly a touchdown in this spot is too good to pass up. The Texans Deshaun Watson has had a slew of off-field trouble, and is unlikely to take a snap for Houston this season. The Bucs made a couple trips to -2 over the next two months, then dipped to -1.5 Aug. 5. Las Vegas is actually taking the modest majority of spread tickets, at 56%, and is drawing 68% of spread cash. That letdown was in no small part due to QB Kyler Murray missing a few weeks with an ankle injury. At New Orleans -3 At New England 9/5 8:30 ET 37 -$265 +$225 39 Indianapolis -13 -$185 +$165 2021 NFL season, Week 1: What we learned from Sunday's games news Next Woman Up: Amina Edwards, chief of staff of the Washington Football Team news NFL Week 1 -$525 +$400 -$135 +$115 39 // ]]> -->, Date & Time At New Orleans Football is finally here! Road Close Spread. ET MONDAY: Denver opened as a 4-point road chalk in mid-May at DraftKings. That means priceless continuity for Tom Brady, who was clicking in Bruce Arians system by seasons end, and who much to the chagrin of the rest of the league should have a full command of the playbook right from the jump in 2021. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft hammer the Jaguars. The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 1 NFL schedule, and it's calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. Bettors that relied on favorites to carry them to victory were disappointed, as a record number of underdogs covered the spread.. This section is showing information as of the end the 2022-23 season. Derrick Henry cemented his place in NFL history with a 2,027-yard, 17-touchdown season. 6-keys: media/spln/nfl/reg/free/stories, at Back in mid-May, the Chiefs opened -3, and they were at -4.5 by Aug. 31. Young tight end Irv Smith also made strides, but the defense long a hallmark of coach Mike Zimmers teams faltered badly while allowing 29.7 points and 393.2 yards per game. Sunday, 9/12 Update: Wentz will reportedly be free of any limitations according to head coach Frank Reich, although the team will reportedly avoid any designed running plays for him. Green this offseason, and Kingsburys offense could prove to be an excellent vehicle through which to revive his career. Since then, the total has toggled between 50, 50.5 and 51 a few times, and it's currently 50 (Over -115). ), their defense isnt. At WynnBet, The Chiefs are taking 71% of spread bets and 95% of spread money. Leagues. So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? Point-spread ticket count is running almost 9/1 and money 2.5/1 on the Broncos. Just as important, Ryan gains a talented offensive mind in Arthur Smith who helped lead Tannehills career renaissance in Tennessee as his head coach. Even if the Rams offense messes it up (they wont! ET Sunday, Sept. 11 (NBC). Sign in with Twitter Which teams should you put your money on? However, these two squads have been the subject of plenty of chatter ahead of Week 1, primarily because of the men leading them under center. All Rights Reserved. closed as a 7-point home favorite and lost to Cincinnati 27-24 in overtime. Furthermore, Meyer was worth 2.5-3 points in his time at Ohio State, making him one of the most valuable coaches for bettors. Minnesota also both won and covered in last year's home game against the Packers. 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Please note that while the Football Lines .com takes utmost care in ensuring content on this site such as historical and latest NFL Lines, NFL Odds, NFL Point Spreads, NFL Over Under, NFL Standings and NFL Schedule are as accurate as possible, they are provided without warranties of accuracy of any kind. Buccaneers, Steelers vs. Bills, Browns vs. Chiefs and Packers vs. Saints. The Giants held on for the win when Tennessee's Randy Bullock was wide left on a 47-yard field-goal attempt with four seconds to go. 5.5. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these, 43.5 points scored by both teams combined, Warren Sharp gives you his sharpest betting edges for Week 1, Our Insider Patrick Everson breaks down all the hot, big, This week's card features a record number of home underdogs. Darrell Henderson, who rushed for 624 yards on 147 carries in 2020, should receive the brunt of the carries for the Rams with Akers on the shelf. On the flip side, the Giants were one of the leagues biggest dumpster fires, and they fired their coach. Money Odds Tennessee At San Francisco 41 At Kansas . Alvin Kamara returns, though the Saints will be without Michael Thomas in this one as he recovers from ankle surgery. Head here to see every pick. Juan Carlos Blanco has served as a freelance writer for a wide variety of online publications and websites, with an intensive focus on fantasy sports. Outside of Darren Waller, Josh Jacobs, and the sometimes-inspired Derek Carr, the Raiders own nothing short of a flawed roster. You'd think the defending champs opening at home would lead to L.A. being the favorite. Winston will get the Week 1 start against the Packers. Kyler Murrays development took a major step forward in his second season, while DeAndre Hopkins lived up to the stellar reputation hed built in Houston. 1 seed in the AFC last year. But against a Texans team that is projected to hold the No. After Denver acquired QB Russell Wilson in an offseason trade with Seattle, the league decided to send Wilson and the Broncos to the Emerald City for Monday Night Football in Week 1. Check back regularly for updates. Ticket count is 3/1 and money 6/1-plus on the Over. Early this week, the number climbed back to 51.5, but by early this evening, it was at its low point of 50. If they dont win all three of those games, Pittsburgh is probably closer to +3 or +3.5. From gambling-friendly schedules featuring live, updating odds to expert analysis and the day's most-bet games, check out the all-new "NFL Odds" section on the FOX Sports App and FOXSports.com! "This one has moved a lot," Murray said. Usually in standalones, especially the first game of the season, the general public is thinking Over rather than Under.". Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $7,500 since its inception, and. All eyes will naturally be on Tua Tagovailoa as he begins his first full season as starter, and just as recent fellow prominent selections at the position Burrow and Hurts hell also be renewing acquaintances with a receiver he previously enjoyed great success with in college. Justin Herbert will therefore be given a chance to continue building his rapport with a group of wideouts that includes stars Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. `` we 'll be rooting for the 'dog and the sometimes-inspired Derek Carr, Chiefs! Record number of 52 -5.5, -6 and -6.5 it 's two-way point-spread action with a flurry, going.! Weeks with an ankle injury free agents Devonta Freeman, Latavius Murray and LeVeon Bell in response to Patriots... 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Thelines.Com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older links provided on this page going SU/7-2! Video is unavailable valuable coaches for bettors Hunter Henry departed to the latest Week 1 Start against Packers...